Commodity prices crashing, oil at multi year lows, china slowdown, so where is the global economy headed?

Let’s look at some facts. China is still growing at 6.9 percent and only stock market has corrected from peak but at a fast place. The economy is still growing on a large gdp base.

In past 12 years, oil has also been at 20 dollars for sometime (2004) and world economy has grown. So its premature to even say that economy is moving into recession. (Global and china).

In india, quality names have not corrected to mouth watering levels. Companies such as hul has generated volume growth and profit growth. So its not that its similar to 2008 scenario.

We don’t know what will happen next, but over time economics, rationality and demand supply take over and markets do revert to mean.

Let’s observe and not panic, and be rational.

Rajeev Thakkar

He is the Chief Investment Officer of PPFAS Mutual Fund.

Regarded by many as a polymath, his presentations, cover diverse topics ranging from the state of the shipping industry, corporate leadership, capital allocation and individual companies like Google. His audience usually takes to him wholeheartedly, as he possesses the endearing quality of 'talking to' them and not 'talking down to' them. Apart from them, certain presentations may be made by a few of their colleagues on account of them being well versed with a specific topic.

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